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Not so great expectations: Gas revenue, corruption and willingness to pay tax in Tanzania

Cappelen, Alexander Wright; Fjeldstad, Odd-Helge; Jahari, Cornel; Mmari, Donald; Sjursen, Ingrid Hoem; Tungodden, Bertil
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Not so great expectations: Gas revenue, corruption and willingness to pay tax in Tanzania (312.7Kb)
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11250/2475129
Date
2016-02-01
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Original version
Bergen: Chr. Michelsen Institute (CMI Brief vol. 15 no. 4) 4 p.  
Abstract
Huge reservoirs of natural gas have been discovered offshore the southern coast of Tanzania. There are high expectations that exploitation of natural resources will substantially increase Tanzania’s national income. This brief presents results from a recent survey experiment of 3000 respondents in Dar es Salaam, Mtwara gas revenue causally increase expectations about corruption, it has no effect on willingness to pay tax. We argue that successful handling of the gas discoveries should include strategies to keep people’s expectations about future gas revenues realistic and to strengthen the control of corruption.
Publisher
Chr. Michelsen Institute
Series
CMI Brief vol. 15 no. 4

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